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Showing posts with label Microsoft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Microsoft. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Google And Apple Playing Tetris?



When Apple revealed its new operating system, the town was abuzz. Oh no, Apple is out to kill all sorts of sexy startups! And now Google is doing the same. Some very sexy apps out there might see fierce competition from Google. It is like Walmart came to town, and the mom and pop stores are going belly up.

Apple Is All Over The News

The big dogs are not just going after startups - "Thank you for the feature idea!" - they are also going after each other. Facebook is going after Google in search (Microsoft's Second Act?, Watch Out For Steve Ballmer), Apple is going after Facebook with Twitter, Facebook is going after Apple with HTML5 (Apple Going After Google's Cloud? Facebook Going After Apple With HTML5), Google is going after Apple's iPhone with Android, as after the tablet, Google is now going after Facebook in a big, big way.

And this is just the beginning. It will be interesting to watch how all this plays out over the next few years.

One smart move for Facebook to make right now would be to make it super easy for us to search a wall. Right now only the latest updates seem to matter.
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Thursday, June 23, 2011

Google Under The Knife

govt used to be scared of MSFT's control of browser. Now some r scared of google search dominance. Don't need regulate sw. Innovation winsless than a minute ago via Twitter for iPhone Favorite Retweet Reply



Wall Street Journal: Feds to Launch Probe of Google:Federal regulators are poised to hit Google Inc. with subpoenas, launching a broad, formal investigation into whether the Internet giant has abused its dominance in Web-search advertising ..... wouldn't necessarily lead to any federal allegations of wrongdoing against Google ...... the Google probe ultimately could be as much of a watershed event for antitrust policy as the Justice Department's landmark lawsuit against Microsoft Corp. in the 1990s. ...... the legal assault on the company—and its aftermath—helped check Microsoft's ability to exploit its dominance in personal-computer operating systems to control other technology sectors. The long-running case also distracted the company from its operations and tarnished its public images—risks that might also face Google...... it isn't illegal to have a monopoly—only to acquire one unlawfully or abuse it....... whether Google searches unfairly steer users to the company's own growing network of services at the expense of rival providers. ....... a group representing several Google critics, including Microsoft and travel services Expedia Inc., Kayak.com, and Sabre Holdings....... using other companies' content without their permission, deceptive display of search results, manipulation of search results to favor Google's products, and buying up competitive threats to its dominance....... the company has said it "built Google for users, not websites, and our goal is to give users answers." ...... Google has drawn public complaints from travel sites like Expedia and TripAdvisor, health site WebMD.com and local-business reviews sites Yelp.com and Citysearch.com, among others. They claim Google promotes links to its own services—such as local-business information pages—depriving their sites of potential traffic...... Google is quickly expanding its array of services that seek to directly answer users' queries, departing from its original strategy of sending them quickly to the most relevant site. Since 2009, for example, Google has directed people who search for mortgages or credit cards to its own marketplace for such offers....... Google doesn't subject its specialized sites, such as Google Places, the company's local-business information pages, to the same rules that cover their sites, and so Google's own sites often show up atop its search results, regardless of their quality. Google has used Google Places as a launching pad to sell ads to local businesses who want to promote offers to Google Web-search users...... "They should compete on fair terms, but they're not subjecting their own content to the same standards by which they judge ours," said Jay Herratti, chief executive of CityGrid Media, a unit of IAC that operates Citysearch.com, Urbanspoon.com and InsiderPages.com. "They always guarantee themselves the top position with products that are largely built on other publishers' content," he said........ Google is abusing its dominance in search ads to extend its control to other markets, from mobile phones to online television, publishing and airline travel...... The probe is expected to take a year or more to unfold, and it won't necessarily lead to any charges...... But the FTC fought hard with the Justice Department to take the case, the people familiar with the matter said, and so is unlikely to walk away without taking any action. ...... In addition to Texas, where a state investigation of Google was disclosed last year, the attorneys general of New York, California and Ohio have started preliminary probes of the company ...... In April, Google agreed to submit to independent privacy audits for the next 20 years as part of a legal settlement with the FTC of claims it violated users' privacy at its social network Buzz...... Google agreed to allow the Justice Department to oversee a slice of its operations in exchange for approval of its $700 million purchase of travel-software provider ITA Software..... In 2008, the Justice Department blocked a Google advertising agreement with Yahoo Inc., saying it would have controlled more than 90% of the relevant market.

New York Times: F.T.C. Is Said Near a Move On Google:The commission’s action was first reported online by The Wall Street Journal on Thursday. .... unlike those cases, which affected only small portions of Google’s business, the current investigation focuses on Google’s main business: Internet search and advertising ...... If Google is found to have abused its dominant position in Internet search and advertising, the F.T.C. would not levy fines. But it has the authority to issue cease-and-desist orders for violations of the trade commission act, and it can also file a lawsuit seeking a preliminary injunction against certain behaviors. ...... Google controlled 65.5 percent of the market in May; Yahoo had 16 percent and Bing had 14 percent. ...... Google’s main search-advertising business accounts for most of the company’s revenue, which totaled $29.3 billion last year. ..... Google in May became the first company to have one billion unique visitors to its site in one month, a rate that was up 8 percent over a year earlier.

CNet: FTC, Senate rachet up Google antitrust probes:Google has shed market share to Microsoft over the past year, according to data released last week by research firm Compete. It's dropped from 73.9 percent to 63.6 percent, while Microsoft's Bing has increased its market share to 17 percent..... Microsoft was not exactly eager to compromise with Washington, D.C., regulators and bureaucrats. Chief Executive Steve Ballmer once said "to heck with Janet Reno" ...... politicians know that a CEO's appearance will draw more press attention, so they tend to ask for it. But when Apple was pressed for details about location privacy by a Senate committee last month, it sent a vice president, not CEO Steve Jobs...... Google has been reluctant to provide either Page or Schmidt for the Senate antitrust subcommittee's hearing, saying other executives would be more appropriate. Utah Sen. Mike Lee, the senior Republican on the panel, said yesterday he was "very disappointed in Google's response." ..... Just over a billion people worldwide visited Google in May, according to data released this week from ComScore. Microsoft was in a close second place with 905 million visitors last month, up 15 percent from a year earlier.

GigaOm: Will an antitrust investigation derail the Google train?: it will put Google right where Microsoft was in the late 1990s — fighting to prove that its behavior as a quasi-monopoly is not anti-competitive. And the big risk for Google isn’t just that it might lose: As the case against Microsoft showed, such investigations can harm a company even if they are ultimately unsuccessful. ....... “search neutrality.” ..... Has Google somehow caused consumers to pay more for something as a result of its behavior? ..... Regardless of the merits of the case, or even the eventual outcome, one of the risks for Google is that having to deal with the government inquiry could slow the company’s progress down or even cripple it. ...... a report earlier this year from the Technology Policy Institute found that such government antitrust investigations rarely accomplish what they set out to do — despite the years of legal effort that were poured into antitrust investigations into Microsoft, IBM and AT&T, the report found that competition came to those markets not as a result of government regulation but because of external factors — including technological changes — that the government could never have predicted.

TechCrunch: The Knives Are Out For Google As FTC Prepares Antitrust Investigation:Most video searches go to YouTube, for example. But is that because Google pushes them there or those are the best results? ...... if a full-blown antitrust investigation does get launched, it may be a signal that Google’s market power has peaked ..... now, just as social (and Facebook) is starting to take over from search as the fundamental way information is shared, discovered, and organized on the Web, the government is focusing on the last decade’s war...... I wouldn’t worry too much about Google’s market power. Technology has a way of overthrowing the powers that be more quickly and naturally than the government ever will.

Search Engine Land: Googleopoly: The Definitive Guide To Antitrust Investigations Against Google: Google’s been examined for antitrust issues many times before this and mostly come through OK. ..... Skyhook Wireless, which has sued Google for unfair business practices. It suggests that Google used its dominance of the “open” Android platform to hinder Skyhook.

ReadWriteWeb: Reports: Google to Face Broad Antitrust Investigation from U.S. Government:Google's business practices will be put under the microscope, especially the core search product ..... a letter was sent by the Democratic and Republican chairs of the Senate antitrust committee requesting that either CEO Larry Page or Chairman Eric Schmidt be made available to the committee
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Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Microsoft's Alliances And Acquisitions

Image representing Steve Ballmer as depicted i...Image via CrunchBase
Forbes: Nokia’s Smartphone Chief On Microsoft Alliance, Future Windows Devices: the Finnish giant’s transition from its homegrown Symbian platform to Microsoft’s Windows Phone operating system ....... The future of Nokia and, to a certain extent, of Microsoft’s mobile ambitions largely hinges on the success of the two companies’ alliance. ..... several Nokia devices were already running Mango, the latest version of Windows Phone software. ...... the first batch of Nokia Windows Phones will be a “small portfolio” of multiple devices. ...... Nokia was an early advocate for NFC, which enables phones to wirelessly exchange data such as payment information, mobile tickets, business card contacts and website links. ...... Early Nokia Windows Phones may also include a China-specific device.
Microsoft allied with Nokia, the number one name in mobile phone hardware. Nokia was struggling under the onslaught of smartphones and it looked like Android was about to take over the world. And Microsoft was largely missing in action. The Windows phone was widely considered a joke.

Bing - But It's Not Google - used to be an industry joke as well. Search was best left to Google.

Windows and Office looked passe. Chrome was coming. Google Apps were all over the place. The smart crowd was into Google Apps.

But Bing plus Facebook is one hell of a ride. And Nokia plus Windows could still deliver on two fronts.

And I still think Steve Ballmer bought Skype for media attention.

But Microsoft does feel like it has some of its mojo back. And add to that its 3D computing moves. This giant will still run a few more laps.

Microsoft's Second Act?
Could Skype Be Microsoft's YouTube?
Microsoft's Gesture
Image representing Microsoft as depicted in Cr...Image via CrunchBase
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Sunday, May 22, 2011

Wow Technorati


See that spike in daily income from AdSense? Almost all of it is coming from Technorati on a lazy Sunday from just one article: Microsoft's Second Act?

It is the shortest of the few posts I have done for Technorati so far. And it brought me $12 in just one day. Wow. This is my best one day return on AdSense ever.

Just when my tech startup is taking off in a way that I don't really need to make money from blogging, my blogging is also taking off looks like.

Technorati is a Top 30 web property. The links that I send to my blog - this blog - from my posts at Technorati have already done wonders for the traffic to this blog. A few hundred are direct clicks, sure. But mostly those links make you look good with Google, and Google sends you traffic by showing you more often in search results.
Image representing Technorati as depicted in C...Image via CrunchBase
Looking good, Technorati.

Gonna Write For Technorati
Microsoft's Second Act?
Social Media: Listening Tools Are The Next Frontier
Lost A Whole Bunch Of Blog Posts
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Saturday, May 21, 2011

Microsoft's Second Act?

Image representing Bing as depicted in CrunchBaseImage via CrunchBase
(Article first published as Microsoft's Second Act? on Technorati.)

Microsoft buying Skype could still fail, and we will know in a year, but something tells me this purchase that was pushed behind the scenes by Bill Gates himself might help Microsoft become a post PC company, a player also in the smartphone and tablet spaces. Skype's deepest possible integration with the Windows phone just might work wonders.

Bigger than that has been Microsoft's teaming up with Google arch rival Facebook on search. Bing now has access to Facebook stuff that Google simply will not have. Stuff that individual users of Facebook might choose to make public to Everyone would still land in Google's lap, but Bing has been given special treatment. This is big. For the first time Google Search has competition.

Before that Steve Ballmer made some moves in 3D computing. That is another space Microsoft might look good in.



The fog on Microsoft has not dissipated yet. But Microsoft was fast becoming the metaphor for big companies where innovation stops. That might start to wind down now. But it is still early to tell. And companies like Google are no sitting ducks. The immense sizzle in the mobile space is bound to throw up new names with exciting products. But I think it is fair to say Microsoft is now back as a player in the game.
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Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Watch Out For Steve Ballmer

en: Steve Ballmer, CEO of Microsoft. Camera: N...Image via WikipediaStepping into Bill Gates' shoes was going to be a tough act to follow for anybody. It just was not possible. Bill Gates ruled the industry for a decade and a half. 1995 was the high point. Windows was the only game in town. And then the guy went into philanthropy where he has been as amazing as he was in software. It has been a second career to him.

Microsoft pretty much missed out the smartphone and tablet trains. But then competing with Steve Jobs is as hard as succeeding Bill Gates. Steve Ballmer has had to do both and I feel for the guy. He was an Economics major at college. And there is a cultural bias against fat, bald people. So people end up thinking he is less smart than he actually is. And he is a non coder in a coding business.

There is this story from the mid 1990s. Ballmer returned back to Redmond from one of his trips visiting with customers. And he got a group of his engineers together and said, "I don't know what TCP/IP is, I don't want to know what TCP/IP is. Just make the pain go away." Everywhere he had gone people had been talking about TCP/IP.

Could Skype Be Microsoft's YouTube?

The Skype purchase might still go down the tube, and we will know in a year or less. On the other hand this might be Ballmer's way to finally "get" smartphones and tablets.

And bringing Facebook integration to Bing is a super smart move. Social is the next frontier of search and Mark Zuckerberg still has memories of Google wanting to buy or bury him early on.
ReadWriteWeb: Bing Debuts Social Search with New Facebook Integration: Microsoft's search engine is about to tie its search results to the Facebook social graph in a move that will come as a blow to Google and its +1 initiative. Where Bing will be able to take existing "likes" from friends and integrate them into search, Google +1 has to be added from within search results before someone even clicks on a page. Google's biggest rivals are teaming up to try and make the Mountain View giant irrelevant in the future of social search...... there will be a new Bing Bar with a "universal like button," the first of its kind. Users will now be able to like any page on the Web from anywhere, regardless if that site has a like button installed or not...... Bing search results will now show "liked results, answers and sites" by showing contents that friends have liked. It will also show personalized results by surfacing content that friends have liked from "deep within" search results to the top page. Around 33% of users click on the top link of search results with click-through results dropping precipitously going down the page and to subsequent pages. So, if your friend liked something that was buried on page 89 of the search results, Bing will in theory bring it to the front page...... Bing also apparently will have the ability to crawl Facebook Pages for what brands and companies are posting online. ..... Bing can crawl profiles too. ..... "Now when people search for a specific person, Bing provides a more in-depth bio snapshot, such as location, education and employment details, to help them find the person they're looking for more quickly." ..... Google cannot do this because Facebook does not allow it. ...... Bing gets to integrate Facebook basically as much as it wants. ...... Other features include "shared shopping lists" and flight planners that help friends share ticketing information to look for the best deal. It will also help you find friends in different cities when you are traveling with a function called "friends who live here."
The Twins Were Rowing Boats
Facebook Could Do Well In Search

For the first time Google has competition in search, and the credit goes to Mark Zuckerberg. Nixon went to China. Roosevelt met Stalin.
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Monday, May 16, 2011

A Data Plan Is All You Should Need

Image representing Skype as depicted in CrunchBaseImage via CrunchBaseYou pay 30 bucks a month, and that is your data plan. And it is good for your smartphone, it is good for your tablet, it is good for your laptop, one data plan for all. The data plan should cover voice and text messaging. Skype ought to morph, Google Voice ought to morph into smartphone apps that make irrelevant the traditional phone number. Landlines are gone, phone numbers should go too.

Could Skype Be Microsoft's YouTube?
Image representing Google Voice as depicted in...Image via CrunchBase
The plan should be 30 bucks a month. And if your speed does not double every two years, the company providing the data plan should declare bankruptcy. The only calling plan that should be allowed is the unlimited calling plan, and that too for a limited period.
New York Times: Skype-Style Calls Force Wireless Carriers to Adapt: someday there will be no minutes to run out of — just megabytes. ..... all mobile services, including text messages and voice and video calls, will travel over data networks. ...... Services like Skype can cut into the carriers’ revenues because they offer easy ways to make phone calls, videoconference and send messages free over the Internet, encroaching on the ways that phone companies have traditionally made money. ..... Now the wireless carriers are looking for new ways to make money based on mobile broadband and applications, rather than voice minutes. ....... Microsoft .... hopes to revitalize itself by creating innovative software for smartphones and tablets, with Skype’s services built in. ....... WhatsApp, Kik, GroupMe and textPlus, allow people to send messages over data networks, sidestepping the cost of sending and receiving standard text messages. ....... Apple, Facebook and Google are making services available that traditionally only carriers could offer. Google, like Skype, offers ways to make free phone and video calls over the Internet. Apple lets iPhone owners make video calls. ........ revenue from voice services has dropped steadily as carriers have move toward unlimited calling plans to stay competitive with one another ...... voice revenue has declined 7 percent over the last four years, while data revenue has soared 132 percent
Ai Fiori FoodSpotting DrinkUp
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Saturday, May 14, 2011

The Enterprise Consumer Great Wall Meltdown

Image representing Skype as depicted in CrunchBaseImage via CrunchBaseSteve Jobs, that most iconic of tech CEOs, absolutely has refused to take his eyes off the consumer to offer something also to the enterprise, and that has been his Apple story from the beginning. And he is winning. The iPad has been flooding the workplace. What is good for the consumer is also good for enterprise.

Mark Zuckerberg absolutely refused to let people have more than one identity when all the talk was that you are one person to your boss, another person to your college friend. He argued it should not be that way. You ought be the same person to everyone.

Could Skype Be Microsoft's YouTube?

Gmail is another example. It is good enough for the informal individual, it is good enough for the knowledge worker.

Skype, that has been hogging the news as of late, falls in that same category. A flagship consumer product has just been bought by the ultimate workplace software company.
ReadWriteWeb: 5 Reasons Why Skype Will Be an Office Hit: The new generation of great enterprise services have a common thread. People use them all the time. An iPhone is for work and for play. People use GMail in both their personal and work lives, too. Skype is in that same category. You may use it one day to call your Mom and the next minute to chat with a colleague. We named Skype our enterprise conferencing tool of the year in 2010 for its moves towards providing business-grade communications with the ease of use of its consumer product...... Combined, Microsoft has invested about $9.5 billion this past year in communications through its partnership with Nokia for $1 billion and the $8.5 billion Skype deal. What that means is millions of smartphones with VOIP. ...... The idea of the fully immersive video experience begins to become reality with Skype in the play. Combine it with Kinect and you have the makings of an immersive video experience that is far more natural than the desktop model that has been popularized over the last 10 years.
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Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Could Skype Be Microsoft's YouTube?

Image representing Skype as depicted in CrunchBaseImage via CrunchBaseThe Skype founders did not have what it takes, or they would not have done the selling, twice. And that is a surprise to me because Skype is just wonderful. Skype hit 500 million users way before Facebook did. But somehow the monetization did not happen. A nine billion dollar exit is a decent monetization, would you say?
Fred Wilson: Skype Out: Big companies mostly mess up entrepreneurial companies when they buy them and it really is best that companies like Skype stay independant and run by their founders if that is possible. ...... Skype filed to go public last year but the offering never came. ..... Maybe the company was having difficulty growing its revenues as fast
Image representing Microsoft as depicted in Cr...Image via CrunchBase as the public markets wanted. Maybe the investors lost confidence in the management's ability to continue to build and grow Skype as an independent company. Whatever the reasons, Skype's experiment with being independent is over and I am disappointed. ...... We use Skype every day in our office. It is our videoconferencing system and increasingly our phone system. It works amazingly well. ...... Skype brought VOIP to the masses and I'm very certain that someday we will all be communicating by voice and video over IP, maybe via Skype, maybe be other services. It is the future for sure. ..... I'm not particularly inspired by the idea that Microsoft will do something great with Skype. But I do think they are a better corporate owner than eBay. The second acquisition of Skype isn't likely to change our daily usage of the service. But it may be an inspiration to VOIP entrepreneurs everywhere to think big and create new services that can someday be as big or bigger than Skype.
Microsoft missed out on the smartphone, Microsoft missed out on the tablet, and Microsoft is on its way to being hammered by Google on both Windows and Office. Although Microsoft has done decent in gaming, and it has made some early, smart moves in 3D computing.

Is Location The Fifth Dimension?
Microsoft's Gesture
Microsoft: Smartphone, Tablet, Bar Code
Microsoft Doldrums
Is Google The New Microsoft?

Could Skype be Microsoft's YouTube? Or is this a MySpace story? A sexy company bought by a big company simply because the big company had the muscle and the money? A sexy company that then went down the tube?

Murdoch's MySpace, Cisco's Flip

Or is Skype the Friendster of VOIP services? My proposition has been that you should not need carriers. You should not have to pay monthly fees. You buy a smartphone, make your one time payment, preferably 100 dollars or less, and that's it. Because you always have access to free Wifi, you use a Skype like service to make and receive phone calls. And if an independent Skype could not move in that direction, what are the chances Microsoft can?

Smartphones: Cheap Is Good
David Noel: I’m impressed by the price tag but unimpressed at all to see Skype go to Microsoft. Skype is one of the world’s biggest consumer applications and Microsoft doesn’t really have a proven track record in the consumer space...... knowing that Skype for Mac never really improved in the two years after spinning out, I’m disappointed...... Skype as a communication’s backbone in Xbox Live and Windows Mobile? Likely. Exciting? Not so much.
I am giving Microsoft the benefit of doubt. If Microsoft bungles this acquisition - and we will know fast, in a year max - then that will be a sign Microsoft truly has become a has been company, still a giant, but way in the background.

Or maybe it will manage a deep integration of Skype with its own phone. And finally, for the first time, Microsoft will have become a contender in the all important smartphone space. And, by extension, the tablet space. This acquisition is Microsoft's boldest attempt yet to become a post PC company. Will it succeed? I don't know. Only time will tell. But I am not sure it can afford to fail.


Ben Horowitz: Microsoft Buys Skype: Shortly after we started Andreessen Horowitz in mid-2009, we, along with our partners at Silver Lake Partners and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, bought majority ownership of Skype from eBay for slightly more than $2B. The investment generated a tremendous amount of controversy for us. Marc and I were known as angel investors, so investing $50M of our new $300M fund in one deal surprised people. ...... Microsoft announced that it was buying Skype for $8.5B 18 months after we bought it from eBay. ...... With a company as complex as Skype, investors draw different conclusions about the same facts. In this case we had the same data as everybody else, but we had a radically higher opinion of Skype’s founders and employees than the doubters and naysayers. ........ Niklas and Janus, two of the preeminent technology entrepreneurs of our time ....... In a direct attack, Google offered a free competitor to Skype’s US paid product and a heavily discounted competitor to Skype’s international product. Google then aggressively promoted these cheap products to their enormous Gmail user base by forcing every Gmail user to view Google’s Internet telephony advertisement before allowing them to access their email. What was the result of this effort? Skype new users and usage growth has accelerated since Google’s launch ....... On the mobile front, Apple built video calling right into the iPhone, making their Facetime product the default offering for iPhone users. How did that impact Skype’s usage on the iPhone? 50 million users have downloaded Skype’s iPhone product since the release of Apple’s Facetime. ...... , we found that Skype had a core group of engineers who were completely dedicated to the mission. They stayed through the eBay acquisition and were hugely determined to make Skype the communications company of the future. Over the past decade, this team consistently introduced groundbreaking technologies ranging from highly resilient and scalable peer-to-peer networking to radically higher sound quality through dramatically superior codecs. In doing so, Skype out-innovated the competition in the most important areas. When combined with its powerful network effect—how valuable is a video calling service if there is nobody to call?—Skype became a formidable competitor. ...... Today, I tip my hat to an old rival, Microsoft. By acquiring Skype, Microsoft becomes a much stronger player in mobile and the clear market leader in Internet voice and video communications. More importantly, Microsoft gets a team, ably led by the exceptional Tony Bates, that can compete with anyone.
This move by Microsoft will also push Google to do way more in the VOIP space. Maybe it will be Google and not Microsoft that will help us get rid of the evil carriers. Maybe it is the Do No Evil company that will help get rid of the evil carriers. Put up with no evil. Android is more powerful than Skype as a piece of software.

Nexus S: The Best Phone Out There

Microsoft: Microsoft to Acquire Skype: $8.5 billion in cash ...... Microsoft will continue to invest in and support Skype clients on non-Microsoft platforms. ..... Steve Ballmer. “Together we will create the future of real-time communications so people can easily stay connected to family, friends, clients and colleagues anywhere in the world.” ...... Skype will become a new business division within Microsoft, and Skype CEO Tony Bates will assume the title of president of the Microsoft Skype Division, reporting directly to Ballmer. ..... introduce new ways for everyone to communicate and collaborate ...... excited about Skype’s long-term future with Microsoft, as it is poised to become one of the world’s most dynamic and comprehensive communications platforms.” ....... Founded in 2003, Skype was acquired by eBay in September 2005, and then acquired by an investment group led by Silver Lake in November 2009. Skype has made impressive progress over the past 18 months under Silver Lake’s leadership, increasing monthly calling minutes by 150 percent, developing new revenue streams and strategic partnerships, acquiring the intellectual property powering its peer-to-peer network, and recruiting an outstanding senior management team.

GigaOm: 5 Key Takeaways From the Microsoft-Skype Press Conference: Microsoft likes that Skype is a verb. ..... Skype has more than 100 million users every month, and those users spend an average of 100 minutes a month talking on the service. ...... Skype will be integrated across multiple Microsoft businesses.There’s plenty of room for Microsoft to create optimized apps for Skype in its Windows Phone 7 products, as well as integrating it with Xbox Kinect. But in addition to the consumer business, Microsoft sees a big opportunity to become a part of its enterprise products, like Outlook and its Lync enterprise communications platform. ....... expects to expand the availability of immersive rich media experiences in its products going forward ...... 45 percent compound annual growth from video advertising over the next five years

Mashable: Microsoft Acquires Skype for $8.5 Billion: an expensive one for Microsoft. Not only is it the largest price Microsoft has paid for a company in decades, Skype is not yet profitable..... t user base of 663 million, 145 million of which use Skype monthly

BBC: Microsoft confirms takeover of Skype: Internet auction house eBay bought Skype for $2.6bn in 2006, before selling 70% of it in 2009 for $2bn.

New York Times: Microsoft to Buy Skype for $8.5 Billion: its largest acquisition ever. ..... Microsoft plans to expand Skype’s business and inject its voice-and-video technology across the spectrum of Microsoft products, from consumer offerings like Xbox to its Office productivity software. ...... Skype makes much of its income from a small group of users who pay for long distance calls to telephone numbers. In 2010, Skype recorded $859.8 million in revenue but reported a net loss of $7 million ...... “Microsoft has extremely broad reach, they have a whole product portfolio that Skype can be attached to,” said Mr. Andreesen, whose firm bought a $50 million stake in Skype in 2009. “There’s all kinds of ways Skype can make money.” ....... The company has often been a smart acquirer of start-ups and smaller companies, analysts say, picking off technical teams that are then folded into products likes Windows, Office and Internet Explorer. But during Mr. Ballmer’s tenure as chief executive, beginning in 2000, the company has also made far larger, riskier bids, most of which have been viewed as unsuccessful. ........ In 2004, Microsoft entered into talks to buy the big business software company SAP, for about $50 billion, according to testimony that came out in a court case. In 2007, Microsoft acquired aQuantive, an online advertising company, for about $6 billion, a sizable premium, and some suggested it overpaid. ........ Nearly three years ago, the company made a surprise $48 billion offer for Yahoo. ....... . Peter Klein, chief financial officer, flew down to Silicon Valley and made an unsolicitied offer to the investor there, Silver Lake and Andreessen Horowitz.

TechCrunch: Why Microsoft’s Skype purchase means a Face-off with Apple’s Facetime: owning Skype means Microsoft has a much better positioning in mobile. ..... Since Microsoft is an investor in Facebook, the latter will now have deep access to its investor’s assets. ....... Being able to Skype from within Facebook means Mark Zuckerberg will not have to build his own VOIP communications platform – a seriously complex affair for 600 million users ...... both Microsoft and Facebook now have a stick with which to beat Apple and its emerging comms platform, Facetime.

ReadWriteWeb: Skype Acquired by Microsoft: 3 Fears & 3 Hopes: the companies together could make big waves in two key parts of the future: mobile and the connected home. ..... Neglect of the product is a widespread concern among Skype-lovers. ....... Will Skype in 14 years look like Hotmail does today? ...... Skype for Mac has been several versions behind the Windows version for years and lagged in features such as multi-person video calling. It's hard to imagine that changing much now! ....... With 660 million+ registered users and more than 100 million average monthly users, Skype is bigger than Twitter. ........ It would be great to see Microsoft, Google and Facebook all make strong mobile VOIP plays and take some power away from the big carriers of the world. ...... As one of the world's biggest social networks Skype really ought to be a platform for social-graph based products, services and features. Everyone says that our real social network can be found in our phone address book but Skype has got to be a strong contender as well. The company has done almost nothing with that potential independently. ....... Skype as a developer platform has never been supported or advanced as well as it ought to have been.

ReadWriteWeb: Microsoft Can Take Skype to The Next Level: Mobile & Living Room: there are two key aspects to this deal which will potentially take Skype to the next level: Microsoft's mobile expertise (in collaboration with its mobile partner Nokia) and its enormously popular gestural interface system Kinect....... there are over 10 million "Microsoft cameras connected to television screens in homes around the world" - thanks to Xbox 360 Kinect sensors. This is the future of Skype, now that it's been acquired by Microsoft: Skype will be much more widely used on your mobile and in your home. ..... Skype has 145 million average monthly connected users, most of whom use the service through their PC. However, in case it's not obvious by now, the future of Internet services lies in mobile devices and real world objects (such as televisions). ....... Kinect, perhaps the key to the next version of Windows OS. ...... Video is where the future of Skype lies, which again plays right into Microsoft's hands with Kinect.

TechCrunch: Done Deal! Big Deal. Smart Deal? Microsoft Buys Skype For $8.5 Billion In Cash: The deal was first reported by GigaOM‘s Om Malik ..... many tech industry pundits and analysts will look at this deal from all possible angles and then some, and still only a handful will end up being somewhat accurate when we look back in a couple of years. ...... appointing a new CEO, former Cisco SVP Tony Bates ..... chances for the business to keep growing, perhaps even acceleratingly so, are fairly big. In that sense, it’s a valuable asset to own (and to keep out of others’ hands)...... ambitions of ubiquity, and Skype and recently acquired Qik fit nicely into many of its current product offerings: think Windows Phone (combined with Nokia), Xbox and Kinect, Bing, Office 365, Windows Live Messenger and other Live products, Lync, Outlook, SharePoint, Internet Explorer, Azure, and so on. .... kype’s user base is comparable to that of Facebook in terms of size ....... companies like Google, Cisco and Apple, on the other hand, are not going to be too pleased about it. Not that either of them absolutely needed to own Skype, but in the hands of Microsoft it’s a much bigger threat to them than if it were still under eBay’s wings, or as a separate company.

TechCrunch: Ballmer And Bates Sell The Skype Deal: We Think We “Can Reach Everyone On The Planet”: there are concerns that Microsoft paid too much. ...... “We will move beyond email and text to rich experiences. Talking to colleagues across the world will be as seamless as talking to them across the table” ...... “This allows us to extend from hundreds of millions to billions of people,” says Skype CEO Bates. “We think this is a set of services that can reach everyone on the planet.” ..... integrated into a variety of Microsoft products: Windows Phone, XBox Live and Kinnect, Outlook, Lync, Messenger, Hotmail. ....... 40 percent of Skype traffic is now video. ...... Ballmer imagines Skype and Xbox becoming “like a home video conferencing system, but one that costs just a few hundred bucks.”) Skype is being positioned as sitting at the nexus of mobile, social, and voice. Social is a bit of a stretch, but it does connect you to that “inner circle” of people you tend to talk to the most often. ....... “Skype was on a path to IPO,” says Ballmer. “From our perspective it was better if we owned this company.” The offer was unsolicited, and went to SIlver Lake Partners, the lead investor of the syndicate that bought Skype from eBay 18 months ago.

Some things Skype could do.

(1) Audio tweets. Limit to a minute.
(2) Skype Lite. For feature poor phones.
(3) Skype Text. For feature poor phones.
(4) Talk from any language to any other language. The Skype version of Google Translate.

But the single most important thing Skype can do is weaken the grip the carriers have upon us.

If Skype and Microsoft can help each other become post PC, this deal is a success. If not, all bets are off.

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Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Apple: Trillion Dollar Company?

Steve Jobs while presenting the iPad in San Fr...Image via Wikipedia
Yahoo Finance: Apple Will Become A Trillion-Dollar Company, Says Altucher — $1,000 a Share: Apple recently blew past Microsoft, Cisco, and other companies to become the most valuable tech company in the world. But that's just the beginning, says investor James Altucher of Formula Capital....... Altucher thinks Apple will eventually be worth more than $1 trillion, maybe even $2-$3 trillion. ...... the company's global market share in its key markets--smart-phones, tablets, and Macs--is still very low. Also, factoring out Apple's massive $65 billion pile of cash, the stock is trading at a low price-earnings multiple.
Apple is not going to be a trillion dollar company. That is too much extrapolation. This trillion dollar talk reminds me of the singularity talk, that is yet another case of too much extrapolation.

If I run five miles per hour today and six miles per hour tomorrow, then you could extrapolate that and say in so many days I could run 60 milers per hour and you would be wrong.

Android is already eating Apple's smartphone lunch. The same thing is going to happen to the tablet.

Apple could end up at 400 billion, maybe. But a trillion? I don't see that happening.

And then there is the elephant in the room: Steve Jobs. The guy is in frail health. Apple minus Steve Jobs is not the same company, it is not even Apple.

This guy Altucher obviously loves his iPad, he owns three of them. Many people love their iPads. But to go from there to three trillion? Come on, have some perspective.
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